Publications · Paul Muñoz

2026

#18

Nature WaterJournal article

Variable renewables fortify Ecuador's power system against recurrences of drought-driven energy crises

Sterl, S., Pineda, L.E., Mast, T., Rodríguez, Y., Muñoz, P. & Thiery, W.

Nature Water, 2026

#17

Journal article

Evaluating the three-cornered hat method for hourly satellite precipitation fusion in hydrological forecasting

Luna Abril, P., Muñoz, P., Samaniego, E., Muñoz, D.F., Merizalde, M., Lillo-Saavedra, M. & Célleri, R.

Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 64(4), 103163

2025

#16

Journal article

Reducing Latency in Satellite-Based Precipitation Estimates Using GOES-16 and Machine Learning

Muñoz, J., Muñoz, P., Muñoz, D. F., & Célleri, R.

Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 30(6), 04025036

#15

Journal article

Advancing timely satellite precipitation for IMERG-ER using GOES-16 data and a U-Net convolutional neural network modelling approach

Vélez-Hernández, M., Muñoz, P., Samaniego, E., Merizalde, M. J., & Célleri, R.

Environmental Modelling & Software, 106457

#14

Journal article

Predicting the Evolution of Extreme Water Levels With Long Short-Term Memory Station-Based Approximated Models and Transfer Learning Techniques

Daramola, S., Muñoz, D. F., Muñoz, P., Saksena, S., & Irish, J. L.

Water Resources Research, 61, e2024WR039054

#13

Nature CommunicationsJournal article

Impacts of irrigation expansion on moist-heat stress based on IRRMIP results

Yao, Y., Ducharne, A., Cook, B. I., ..., Muñoz, P., ... & Thiery, W.

Nature Communications, 16(1), 1045

#12

Journal article

Precipitation forecasting using random forest over an ecuadorian andes basin

Montenegro, M., Célleri, R., Orellana-Alvear, J., Muñoz, P., & Córdova, M.

Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 137(1), 1–12

2024

#11

Journal article

Enhancing runoff forecasting through the integration of satellite precipitation data and hydrological knowledge into machine learning models

Muñoz, P., Muñoz, D. F., Orellana-Alvear, J., & Célleri, R.

Natural Hazards, 1–23

#10

Journal article

Enhancing Peak Runoff Forecasting through Feature Engineering Applied to X-Band Radar Data

Álvarez-Estrella, J., Muñoz, P., Bendix, J., Contreras, P., & Célleri, R.

Water, 16(7), 968

2023

#9

Journal article

Near-real-time satellite precipitation data ingestion into peak runoff forecasting models

Muñoz, P., Corzo, G., Solomatine, D., Feyen, J., & Célleri, R.

Environmental Modelling & Software, 160, 105582

#8

Journal article

Integrating geographic data and the SCS-CN method with LSTM networks for enhanced runoff forecasting

Merizalde, M. J., Muñoz, P., Muñoz, D. F., Corzo, G., Samaniego, E., & Célleri, R.

Frontiers in Water

BC·2

AGU BooksBook chapter

Use of Near-Real-Time Satellite Precipitation Data and Machine Learning to Improve Extreme Runoff Modeling

Muñoz, P., Corzo, G., Solomatine, D., Feyen, J., & Célleri, R.

AGU Books: Hydroinformatics

2016 – 2021

#7

Journal article

Flood Early Warning Systems Using Machine Learning Techniques: The Case of the Tomebamba Catchment

Muñoz, P., Orellana-Alvear, J., Bendix, J., Feyen, J., & Célleri, R.

Hydrology, 8(4), 183 · 2021

#6

Journal article

Fusing multi-source data to estimate the effects of urbanization, sea level rise, and hurricane impacts on long-term wetland change dynamics

Muñoz, D. F., Muñoz, P., Alipour, A., Moftakhari, H., Moradkhani, H., & Mortazavi, B.

IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations · 2021

#5

Journal article

Influence of Random Forest Hyperparameterization on Short-Term Runoff Forecasting in an Andean Mountain Catchment

Contreras, P., Orellana-Alvear, J., Muñoz, P., Bendix, J., & Célleri, R.

Atmosphere, 12(2), 238 · 2021

#4

Journal article

From local to regional compound flood mapping with deep learning and data fusion techniques

Muñoz, D. F., Muñoz, P., Moftakhari, H., & Moradkhani, H.

Science of the Total Environment, 782, 146927 · 2021

#3

Journal article

Assessment of Native Radar Reflectivity and Radar Rainfall Estimates for Discharge Forecasting in Mountain Catchments with a Random Forest Model

Orellana-Alvear, J., Célleri, R., Rollenbeck, R., Muñoz, P., Contreras, P., & Bendix, J.

Remote Sensing, 12(12), 1986 · 2020

BC·1

Book chapter

Application of a Machine Learning Technique for Developing Short-Term Flood and Drought Forecasting Models in Tropical Mountainous Catchments

Muñoz, P., Orellana-Alvear, J., & Célleri, R.

Integrated Research on Disaster Risks, pp. 11–35. Springer, Cham · 2021

#2

Journal article

Flash-Flood Forecasting in an Andean Mountain Catchment — Development of a Step-Wise Methodology Based on the Random Forest Algorithm

Muñoz, P., Orellana-Alvear, J., Willems, P., & Célleri, R.

Water, 10, 1519 · 2018

#1

Journal article

Effect of the Resolution of Tipping-Bucket Rain Gauge and Calculation Method on Rainfall Intensities in an Andean Mountain Gradient

Muñoz, P., Célleri, R., & Feyen, J.

Water, 8, 534 · 2016